(The following statement was released by the rating agency)
July 02 -
Overview
-- We expect Global A&T Electronics' (GATE) business risk profile to
remain "weak" and its "highly leveraged" financial risk profile to improve in
2013.
-- We expect the Singapore-based outsourced semiconductor assembly and
testing (OSAT) services company to register stable operating performance,
contain its capital expenditure, and meet its debt maturities in 2013 mainly
with its own funds.
-- We are affirming our 'B' long-term corporate credit rating on GATE.
-- The positive outlook reflects our expectation that the company will
reduce its leverage with debt to EBITDA below 4.5x in 2013.
Rating Action
On July 2, 2012, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services affirmed its 'B' long-term
corporate credit rating on Singapore-based Global A&T Electronics Ltd. (GATE).
The outlook is positive. At the same time, we affirmed the 'B' rating on the
US$150 million revolving credit facility due in October 2013 and the US$625
million first lien term loan due in October 2014.
Rationale
We affirmed the ratings because we believe GATE, an OSAT company, will have
stable operating performance and maintain its "highly leveraged" financial
risk profile over the next 12 months. We expect GATE's ratio of debt to EBITDA
to remain above 4.5x in 2012 and funds from operations (FFO) to debt at about
15% in 2012. In our view, GATE is likely to improve its financial risk profile
to "aggressive" in 2013 by reducing its leverage and capital expenditure.
We expect GATE to show modest low single-digit revenue growth and EBITDA
margin of about 27% in 2012. GATE also plans to restrict its cash capital
expenditure in 2012 to about 14% of revenues, down from 18%-20% seen in the
past. However, the ratio of debt to total capital is unlikely to improve
significantly from about 70%, without an equity issuance. We believe the
company might reduce its leverage by using its cash and internal accruals to
repay the US$145 million outstanding on the revolving credit facility due in
October 2013. This would result in the ratio of debt to EBITDA falling below
4.5x with the ratio of FFO to debt improving to about 18% in 2013.
In 2011, GATE's revenue was 7% below our estimate due to a shift of U.S.
customers to lower price packaging and weaker overall demand in the second
half, stemming from lower customers' inventory in the market. However, the
company improved its EBITDA margin by almost 90 basis points above our
expectation. Its capital expenditure was in line with our expectation at 20%
of revenues. As a result, FFO to debt at 15% and debt to EBITDA at 4.8x were
in line with our expectations. The financial performance for the first quarter
of 2012, which is seasonally weaker, was in line with our expectations.
GATE's business risk profile is "weak," in our view, and we expect it to
remain unchanged. The company is the sixth-largest player globally in the
cyclical and highly fragmented OSAT industry. The industry faces short product
life cycles, continuing technological developments, and price erosion with
aggressive competition. It also requires heavy capital expenditure at 15%-20%
of revenue. However, we expect the OSAT industry to continue to grow due to
the increasing complexity of packaging and economies of scale. The growth in
smartphones, tablets, and PCs also provides opportunities for the
semiconductor industry. We believe revenues could increase faster than global
GDP growth.
Liquidity
GATE's liquidity is "adequate," as defined in our criteria. We expect the
company's ratio of liquidity sources to uses to be well above 1.2x in the next
12-24 months. However, we believe GATE has little flexibility to increase debt
due to limited headroom on its covenants. We expect the company to be able to
meet its liquidity uses even if its EBITDA falls 15%-20%. Our liquidity
assessment is based on the following factors and assumptions:
-- GATE's liquidity sources include cash and cash equivalents of US$262.6
million as of March 31, 2012, and our FFO projection of about US$180 million.
-- Liquidity uses include US$6.7 million debt maturing in 2012 and
estimated capital expenditure of US$140 million.
In our view, GATE would be able to maintain "adequate" liquidity even if it
meets the US$145 million maturity in October 2013 from its own funds and
internal accruals. We expect that the company will need to refinance its large
bullet maturity of US$577 million in October 2014.
Outlook
The positive outlook reflects our expectation of stable operating performance
and EBITDA margin. We also assume that the company will contain its capital
expenditure.
We may raise the rating if GATE maintains its operating performance and
strengthens its financial risk profile such that the debt-to-EBITDA ratio is
consistently below 4.5x, which is likely if the company meets its 2013 debt
maturities using its own funds.
We may revise the outlook back to stable if GATE refinances the entire
maturities in 2013 and 2014 with debt, or if the operating performance
deteriorates, resulting in debt to EBITDA above 4.5x on a sustained basis.
Related Criteria And Research
-- Methodology And Assumptions On Risks In The Global High Technology
Industry, Oct. 15, 2009
-- Business Risk/Financial Risk Matrix Expanded, May 27, 2009
-- 2008 Corporate Criteria: Analytical Methodology, April 15, 2008
-- Credit FAQ: Knowing The Investors In A Company's Debt And Equity,
April 4, 2006
Ratings List
Ratings Affirmed
Global A&T Electronics Ltd.
Corporate Credit Rating B/Positive/--
Senior Secured B
Source: http://news.yahoo.com/text-p-affirms-b-rating-gate-positive-outlook-090651380--sector.html
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